Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro1 - 0U. Catolica
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Union La Calera
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, May 17 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 17 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro in this match.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
59.34% ( -0.38) | 21.57% ( 0.11) | 19.09% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( -0.04) | 42.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( -0.04) | 65.22% ( 0.04) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.13) | 14.07% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.34% ( -0.26) | 41.66% ( 0.26) |
Universidad Catolica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% ( 0.28) | 36.18% ( -0.28) |