Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
26.19% ( -0.21) | 23.29% ( 0.13) | 50.52% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% ( -0.77) | 42.32% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% ( -0.78) | 64.72% ( 0.78) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( -0.7) | 65.54% ( 0.7) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% ( -0.25) | 16.86% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( -0.46) | 46.88% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |