Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
41.05% ( 0.04) | 26.31% ( -0.01) | 32.64% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.96% ( -0) | 52.04% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.23% ( -0) | 73.77% ( -0.01) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( 0.02) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% ( 0.03) | 59.68% ( -0.04) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% ( -0.03) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( -0.04) | 66.03% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |