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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers


Diabate (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bristol Rovers

 Bristol Rovers' matches are usually high scoring, and with Exeter rediscovering some decent form since returning to winning ways on Boxing Day, we see no reason why this meeting would be any different. Exeter defeated the Gas very recently in a rescheduled fixture, but we can envisage the visitors gaining some revenge after putting in a good performance when beating Oxford last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
40.53% (0.831 0.83) 25.15% (0.121 0.12) 34.32% (-0.952 -0.95)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.616 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.719 -0.72)46.64% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.679 -0.68)68.9% (0.681 0.68)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)22.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.145 0.14)56.62% (-0.145 -0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.895 -0.89)26.24% (0.895 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-1.212 -1.21)61.35% (1.214 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 40.53%
    Bristol Rovers 34.32%
    Draw 25.14%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.291 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.32%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Bristol Rovers
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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