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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Columbus Crew

Cincinnati
0 - 0
Columbus Crew


Awaziem (78'), Nwobodo (88')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-4 Seattle
Sunday, September 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew

Cincinnati's recent resurgence and home advantage should give them the edge, despite their defensive vulnerabilities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
49.03% (-0.18 -0.18) 22.51% (0.012 0.01) 28.45% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.36% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (0.052 0.05)36.88% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (0.056999999999995 0.06)59.06% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)15.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)44.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.133 0.13)25.11% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.185 0.19)59.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 49.03%
    Columbus Crew 28.45%
    Draw 22.51%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

FC Cincinnati
62.5%
Draw
8.3%
Columbus Crew
29.2%
24
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12.45am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Cincinnati
Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')
Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')
Dec 2, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (14'), Acosta (45+3')
Acosta (73'), Badji (82'), Vazquez (99'), Mosquera (117')
Powell (75' og.), Rossi (86'), Ramirez (115')
Moreira (45+2'), Gressel (120+1')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')
rhs 2.0
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