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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
43.93% ( 1.06) | 24.53% ( 0.06) | 31.54% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( -0.68) | 44.68% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( -0.66) | 67.05% ( 0.66) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( 0.19) | 20.45% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.09% ( 0.31) | 52.91% ( -0.31) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -1.03) | 27.01% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( -1.36) | 62.37% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |