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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
43.12% ( -1.62) | 22.83% ( 0.09) | 34.04% ( 1.53) |
Both teams to score 65.28% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 0.1) | 35.65% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.29% ( 0.11) | 57.71% ( -0.11) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% ( -0.59) | 17.11% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% ( -1.05) | 47.32% ( 1.05) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.87) | 21.24% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% ( 1.33) | 54.15% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |