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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
43.12% ( -1.62) | 22.83% ( 0.09) | 34.04% ( 1.53) |
Both teams to score 65.28% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 0.1) | 35.65% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.29% ( 0.11) | 57.71% ( -0.11) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% ( -0.59) | 17.11% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% ( -1.05) | 47.32% ( 1.05) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( 0.87) | 21.24% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% ( 1.33) | 54.15% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |