MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 22:14:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Forest Green Rovers
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 0
York City

Bunker (64'), McAllister (83')
McCann (20'), Long (53'), Bunker (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguiar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 5-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 York City

These two teams are ahead in the title race for good reason. Although both sides are strong in defence, their ability to score goals should make this an entertaining game, and we think it will be a 2-2 draw here, with little to separate the sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawYork City
44.55% (-0.105 -0.1) 25.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 30.24% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.26% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)70.41% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)21.66% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)54.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.088999999999999 0.09)29.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.108 0.11)65.7% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 44.55%
    York City 30.24%
    Draw 25.21%
Forest Green RoversDrawYork City
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: Forest Green vs York City

Forest Green Rovers
40.5%
Draw
43.2%
York City
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
York City
2-2
Forest Green
Parkin (33', 49')
Muggleton (55'), Newton (71')
Bugiel (6', 35')
Bennett (64')
Aug 20, 2016 3pm
Forest Green
2-1
York City
Murphy (40'), Tubbs (95' pen.)
Racine (53'), Chemlal (71')
Brodie (20')
Clappison (18'), Brodie (26'), Wright (54'), Heslop (69'), Dixon (93'), Kamdjo (96')
Heslop (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet20141542241843
2Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
3York City20125337172041
4Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
5Gateshead20114535251037
6Rochdale19103628181033
7AltrinchamAltrincham208663225730
8Halifax TownHalifax198652117430
9Solihull MoorsSolihull208483533228
10Sutton UnitedSutton198472726128
11Eastleigh207762726128
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool207762424028
13Yeovil TownYeovil208482222028
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
15Tamworth197482233-1125
16Southend UnitedSouthend205872224-223
17Aldershot TownAldershot205782733-622
18Woking205691926-721
19WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
20Braintree TownBraintree2054111626-1019
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2054112437-1319
22Fylde1953112339-1618
23Boston UnitedBoston2035121936-1714
24Ebbsfleet1915131544-298


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