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FA Cup
Wycombe Wanderers
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Adams Park

Wycombe
3 - 2
York City

Leahy (14' pen., 57'), Kadua (21')
Leahy (50'), (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sinclair (31'), Felix (90+4')
Felix (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Wycombe Wanderers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

York City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Halifax 1-2 York City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 York City

 The shackles should come off for a York City side with nothing to lose on Saturday, and the Minstermen have been in red-hot form in the National League, so Wycombe's backline should not emerge unblemished. However, even a second-string Chairboys team should avoid an embarrassing exit at the hands of the non-league leaders, although their victory may not be entirely convincing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawYork City
48.74% (-0.91 -0.91) 24.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 26.57% (0.944 0.94)
Both teams to score 54.27% (0.959 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (0.859 0.86)48.19% (-0.862 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (0.783 0.78)70.34% (-0.786 -0.79)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)19.81% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)51.88% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (1.221 1.22)32.32% (-1.225 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (1.358 1.36)68.83% (-1.36 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 48.73%
    York City 26.57%
    Draw 24.68%
Wycombe WanderersDrawYork City
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.155 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.57%

How you voted: Wycombe vs York City

Wycombe Wanderers
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
York City
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2016 3pm
York City
1-1
Wycombe
Oliver (35')
Bennett (69'), Alessandra (83')
Bloomfield (88')
Jombati (83')
Aug 8, 2015 3pm
Wycombe
3-0
York City
Stewart (7'), Amadi-Holloway (28'), Zubar (58' og.)
Jacobson (43'), Stewart (52'), Pierre (86')

Winfield (80')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Wycombe
1-0
York City
Onyedinma (47')
Bean (55'), Jombati (89')

Carson (51')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
York City
0-0
Wycombe
Wood (56'), Jacobson (60'), Pierre (86')
Mar 15, 2014 3pm
York City
2-0
Wycombe
Bowman (7' pen.), Carson (45')
Reed (68')

Togwell (87')
Togwell (90')
rhs 2.0
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