Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.