Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
51.8% ( -0.18) | 24.46% ( 0.1) | 23.74% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.31) | 49.61% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.28) | 71.63% ( 0.28) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% ( -0.19) | 19.13% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( -0.32) | 50.77% ( 0.32) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( -0.09) | 35.48% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.1) | 72.25% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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