Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
51.8% (![]() | 24.46% (![]() | 23.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% (![]() | 49.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% (![]() | 71.63% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% (![]() | 19.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% (![]() | 50.77% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% (![]() | 35.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |