Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.