MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:45:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Palmeiras

Gremio
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Pavon (2'), Cristaldo (69' pen.)
Ely (71'), Robert (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manuel Lopez (74'), Willian (77')
de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (37'), Naves (41'), Moreno (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 1-2 Palmeiras

While classed as a 'home' game for Gremio, referring to this as a neutral venue is perhaps a more accurate description. Palmeiras are in good form this season and have the league's best away record as things stand. We feel Verdao will take the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawPalmeiras
30.66% (-0.417 -0.42) 27.39% (-0.379 -0.38) 41.95% (0.796 0.8)
Both teams to score 48.53% (0.936 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (1.26 1.26)56.84% (-1.262 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (1.001 1)77.76% (-1.001 -1)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.357 0.36)33.76% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.386 0.39)70.42% (-0.387 -0.39)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (1.023 1.02)26.73% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (1.33 1.33)62% (-1.331 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 30.66%
    Palmeiras 41.94%
    Draw 27.38%
GremioDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.165 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.115 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.092 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Gremio vs Palmeiras

Gremio
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Palmeiras
75.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Gremio
1-0
Palmeiras
Pedro (9')
Ely (34'), Pedro (45+6'), Villasanti (59'), Grando (90+9')
Villasanti (86')

Rocha (45+2'), Mayke (63'), Menino (72')
May 11, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 5
Palmeiras
4-1
Gremio
Veiga (24')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Gremio
1-3
Palmeiras
Souza (11')
Kannemann (27'), Pyerre (39'), Mancini (45+6'), Thiago (64'), Alisson (69')
Veiga (45+1' pen., 45+4'), Lopes (90+3')
Melo (62'), Garcia (90+1')
Jul 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 10
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Veiga (1'), Menino (17')
Menino (9'), Danilo (41')

Nunes (32'), Henrique (34'), Vanderson (38')
Mar 7, 2021 9pm
Finals
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Wesley (53'), Menino (84')
Rafael (16'), Menino (86'), Esteves (86'), Rocha (87')

Doin (27'), Kannemann (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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