MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 15:26:24| >> :60:109:109:
Grenada national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Kirani James National Stadium
Saint Lucia national football team

Grenada
1 - 2
St Lucia

Akins (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Forino-Joseph (13'), Jn Baptiste (21')
Nelson (24'), Mayers (55')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Grenada and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grenada

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-2 Grenada
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Curacao
Friday, September 6 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Saint Lucia in this match.

Result
GrenadaDrawSaint Lucia
15.59% (2.01 2.01) 18.67% (1.873 1.87) 65.74% (-3.886 -3.89)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.828 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-4.746 -4.75)35.51% (4.743 4.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-5.45 -5.45)57.55% (5.446 5.45)
Grenada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.5 -0.5)35.75% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.519 -0.52)72.52% (0.51599999999999 0.52)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.9% (-2.131 -2.13)10.09% (2.128 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.76% (-5.123 -5.12)33.24% (5.12 5.12)
Score Analysis
    Grenada 15.59%
    Saint Lucia 65.74%
    Draw 18.67%
GrenadaDrawSaint Lucia
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.516 0.52)
1-0 @ 3.71% (0.784 0.78)
2-0 @ 1.91% (0.383 0.38)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.5% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 15.59%
1-1 @ 8.51% (1.104 1.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.8 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.67%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.389 0.39)
0-2 @ 9.49% (0.502 0.5)
0-1 @ 8.28% (1.17 1.17)
1-3 @ 7.46% (-0.442 -0.44)
0-3 @ 7.25% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 4.28% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-4 @ 4.16% (-0.635 -0.64)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-4 @ 2.2% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-5 @ 1.96% (-0.567 -0.57)
0-5 @ 1.91% (-0.519 -0.52)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 65.74%

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