MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 16:33:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
1 - 2
Brann

Simenstad (51')
Kurtovic (8'), Mawa (11'), Kjaergaard (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soltvedt (9' pen.), Didrik Blomberg (74')
Heltne Nilsen (29'), Crone (50'), Kristiansen (85'), Sery (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between HamKam and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viking FK 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HamKam 0-1 SK Brann

Midweek fatigue will work against a Brann side who have been fond of a stalemate on the road this season, and one loss for HamKam should not undo all of their successful exploits before that. However, the visitors' knack for prevailing in this fixture coupled with their unbeaten sequence on the road means that they ought to avoid suffering the same fate at Bodo/Glimt, whom they should be briefly looking down on thanks to a hard-fought win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawSK Brann
14.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 19.23% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 66.5% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.129 -0.13)41.1% (0.12799999999999 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.131 -0.13)63.49% (0.131 0.13)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (0.046000000000006 0.05)41.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.59% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)11.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.177 -0.18)36.34% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 14.27%
    SK Brann 66.48%
    Draw 19.23%
HamKamDrawSK Brann
1-0 @ 4.2% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.27%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.23%
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.96% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 66.48%

How you voted: HamKam vs Brann

HamKam
16.1%
Draw
22.6%
SK Brann
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 16
Brann
1-0
HamKam
Heggebo (82')
Horneland (37')

Odegard (36')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
HamKam
0-2
Brann

Kongsro (22'), Sjolstad (45+1')
Kartum (22'), Castro (23')
Simba (67')
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Brann
2-1
HamKam
Torsvik (45+2'), Finne (83' pen.)
Crone (54')
Alexander Kirkevold (90+3')
Melgalvis (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24165357213653
2SK BrannBrann24137442281446
3MoldeMolde24135654282644
4Viking FKViking FK24127546311543
5RosenborgRosenborg2412484034640
6Fredrikstad2411763229340
7KFUM OsloKFUM248973029133
8HamKam247893029129
9KristiansundKristiansund247892937-829
10Tromso ILTromso2484122833-528
11StromsgodsetStromsgodset2477102837-928
12Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2475123348-1526
13FK HaugesundHaugesund2465132337-1423
14SandefjordSandefjord2457123241-922
15Odd2457122240-1822
16Lillestrom2463152650-2421


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