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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
35.87% ( 0.3) | 25.99% ( 0.07) | 38.14% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( -0.3) | 50.15% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( -0.26) | 72.12% ( 0.26) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.03) | 27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.04) | 62.35% ( -0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( -0.34) | 25.71% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.37% ( -0.46) | 60.63% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
2 | Burnley | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 49 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol City | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Millwall | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 19 |
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