Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.