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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta United

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Atlanta

Messi (62')
Aviles (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lobzhanidze (44', 59'), Thiare (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-0 Atlanta United

Over the weekend, the Herons made a statement that they are capable of winning and being a quality side, even without their three best players. The Five Stripes' frustrations are boiling over, and their top players are not 100%, so we project their winless MLS run will reach double-digits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
50.94% (-2.84 -2.84) 22.46% (0.975 0.98) 26.6% (1.872 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.92% (-1.58 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.9% (-2.924 -2.92)38.1% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.64% (-3.185 -3.19)60.37% (3.191 3.19)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-1.933 -1.93)15.17% (1.939 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-3.779 -3.78)43.79% (3.786 3.79)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.191 -0.19)27% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.253 -0.25)62.35% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 50.94%
    Atlanta United 26.6%
    Draw 22.46%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.551 0.55)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.315 -0.32)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.429 -0.43)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.314 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.293 -0.29)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.665 0.66)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.55 0.55)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.404 0.4)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.693 0.69)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.437 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.6%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Atlanta

Inter Miami
94.9%
Draw
1.7%
Atlanta United
3.4%
59
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 10pm
Atlanta
5-2
Inter Miami
Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')
Campana (25', 53')
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')
Jun 19, 2022 8pm
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Campana (28'), Duke (64')
Mabika (55'), Yedlin (74'), Marsman (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Cisneros (13')
Lennon (17')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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