Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
55.99% ( -0.94) | 22.75% ( 0.26) | 21.27% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.25) | 45.03% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.25) | 67.38% ( 0.25) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% ( -0.41) | 15.91% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% ( -0.75) | 45.15% ( 0.75) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% ( 0.52) | 35.23% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( 0.54) | 71.99% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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