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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Hull City

Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Millar (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

While Hull City have shown their defensive solidity so far this term, conceding just two goals in their first three league outings, they face their toughest test thus far on Saturday and may struggle to match a rejuvenated Leeds United side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
53.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.57% (0.023 0.02) 23.86% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (-0.055 -0.05)41.24% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (-0.058 -0.06)63.63% (0.058 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)15.4% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.21% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 53.58%
    Hull City 23.86%
    Draw 22.56%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.58%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.86%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
81.7%
Draw
8.5%
Hull City
9.8%
82
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
3-1
Hull City
Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hull City win 9-8 on penalties)
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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