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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Hull logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Hull City

Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Millar (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

While Hull City have shown their defensive solidity so far this term, conceding just two goals in their first three league outings, they face their toughest test thus far on Saturday and may struggle to match a rejuvenated Leeds United side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
53.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.57% (0.023 0.02) 23.86% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (-0.055 -0.05)41.24% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (-0.058 -0.06)63.63% (0.058 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)15.4% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.21% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 53.58%
    Hull City 23.86%
    Draw 22.56%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.58%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.86%

How you voted: Leeds vs Hull City

Leeds United
81.7%
Draw
8.5%
Hull City
9.8%
82
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
3-1
Hull City
Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hull City win 9-8 on penalties)
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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