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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Swansea logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Swansea

Dewsbury-Hall (3'), Mavididi (69' pen.), Akgun (72')
Dewsbury-Hall (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allen (90+5')
Wood (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leicester City 3-0 Swansea City

Leicester were able to hand a number of their first-team stars a rest during the FA Cup win over Birmingham, meaning the Foxes should be raring to put Swansea to the sword at the King Power. The Swans have been woeful during away matches against Southampton and Bournemouth over the past month, and with the Foxes runaway leaders at the top of the Championship, it is set to be another tough outing for the Welsh side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
65.86% (0.0049999999999955 0) 18.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 15.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98%74.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 65.86%
    Swansea City 15.27%
    Draw 18.88%
Leicester CityDrawSwansea City
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.86%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.27%

How you voted: Leicester vs Swansea

Leicester City
84.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swansea City
7.4%
108
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-3
Leicester
Grimes (20')
Cullen (14'), Darling (90+7')
Vestergaard (44'), Fatawu (63'), Iheanacho (87')
Justin (49'), Pereira (56'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+8')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Feb 12, 2017 4pm
Swansea
2-0
Leicester
Mawson (36'), Olsson (45')
Fer (26'), Cork (40')

Huth (36'), Chilwell (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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