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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Montpellier

Lens
2 - 2
Montpellier

Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Montpellier HSC

Lens will have the motivation of European football being on the line in this game, while the visitors have nothing left to play for, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. One goal has been the difference in five of the last six victories for either side in this fixture, and we believe this one will follow the same pattern with a 1-0 win for Lens. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
52.79% (1.17 1.17) 22.93% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 24.27% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-1.561 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.455 -1.46)42.48% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.466 -1.47)64.88% (1.466 1.47)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)16.11% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48% (-0.211 -0.21)45.52% (0.211 0.21)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-1.763 -1.76)31.13% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (-2.109 -2.11)67.46% (2.109 2.11)
Score Analysis
    Lens 52.79%
    Montpellier HSC 24.27%
    Draw 22.93%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.547 0.55)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.468 0.47)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.266 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.318 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Montpellier HSC
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-0
Lens
Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Dolphins
@
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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