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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lorient logo

Montpellier
2 - 0
Lorient

Savanier (55' pen.), Karamoh (90')
Ferri (14'), Savanier (42'), Khazri (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ponceau (15'), Yongwa (44'), Mendy (45+1'), Adjei (52'), Bamba (59'), Katseris (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Lorient

 Montpellier have enjoyed their recent meetings with Lorient, triumphing in four of their last five league matches, and we can see another success for the home side here. Lorient have enough quality to score, but we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
45.51% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 23.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.16% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)40.48% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.184 -0.18)62.86% (0.179 0.18)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.067 -0.07)49% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.155 -0.16)25.33% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-0.213 -0.21)60.12% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.51%
    Lorient 30.92%
    Draw 23.56%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Lorient
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 7
Lorient
0-3
Montpellier

Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')
Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Maouassa (90+4')
Faivre (68')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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