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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lorient logo

Montpellier
2 - 0
Lorient

Savanier (55' pen.), Karamoh (90')
Ferri (14'), Savanier (42'), Khazri (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ponceau (15'), Yongwa (44'), Mendy (45+1'), Adjei (52'), Bamba (59'), Katseris (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Lorient

 Montpellier have enjoyed their recent meetings with Lorient, triumphing in four of their last five league matches, and we can see another success for the home side here. Lorient have enough quality to score, but we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
45.51% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 23.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.16% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)40.48% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.184 -0.18)62.86% (0.179 0.18)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.067 -0.07)49% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.155 -0.16)25.33% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (-0.213 -0.21)60.12% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.51%
    Lorient 30.92%
    Draw 23.56%
Montpellier HSCDrawLorient
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Lorient
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 7
Lorient
0-3
Montpellier

Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')
Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Maouassa (90+4')
Faivre (68')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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