Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
Lincoln2 - 1Larne
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Larne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Larne 0-1 KF Ballkani (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln Red Imps would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Larne |
40.82% ( -2.59) | 26.18% ( 0.13) | 32.99% ( 2.45) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.24) | 51.42% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0.21) | 73.23% ( -0.21) |
Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( -1.2) | 24.85% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.55% ( -1.69) | 59.44% ( 1.69) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( 1.78) | 29.39% ( -1.79) |