Nations League | Relegation Playoff | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 0Gibraltar
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-1 Lithuania
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
We said: Lithuania 2-0 Gibraltar (Lithuania win 3-0 on aggregate)
Lithuania are not a side who score many goals, but they created more than enough chances in the first leg to win by a bigger margin. That should be of no detriment to their chances here though, as an out-of-form Gibraltar side are unlikely to overturn the deficit in Kaunas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.41%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lithuania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Gibraltar |
78.8% ( -0.01) | 14.08% ( 0.06) | 7.12% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.47% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
