Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
26.55% ( 0.27) | 23.95% ( 0.02) | 49.5% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.11) | 45% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.1) | 67.35% ( -0.11) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.27) | 30.66% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.31) | 66.9% ( -0.32) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -0.08) | 18.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% ( -0.13) | 49.32% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |