MX23RW : Monday, November 25 10:58:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Toulouse

Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ponceau (19')
Adjei (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (59'), Cissoko (83')
Diarra (38'), Aboukhlal (51'), Sierro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse

Although Lorient may benefit from having home advantage on Sunday, we cannot ignore that Toulouse are currently one of the form teams in the division. We feel that will continue on Sunday with the visitors battling their way to another maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
26.55% (0.269 0.27) 23.95% (0.023 0.02) 49.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.107 0.11)45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.102 0.1)67.35% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.265 0.27)30.66% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.314 0.31)66.9% (-0.318 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (-0.126 -0.13)49.32% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Toulouse 49.5%
    Draw 23.94%
LorientDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Toulouse
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
1-1
Lorient
Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!