Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
26.55% ( 0.27) | 23.95% ( 0.02) | 49.5% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.11) | 45% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.1) | 67.35% ( -0.11) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.27) | 30.66% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.31) | 66.9% ( -0.32) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( -0.08) | 18.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% ( -0.13) | 49.32% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |