MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 23:23:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Toulouse

Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ponceau (19')
Adjei (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (59'), Cissoko (83')
Diarra (38'), Aboukhlal (51'), Sierro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse

Although Lorient may benefit from having home advantage on Sunday, we cannot ignore that Toulouse are currently one of the form teams in the division. We feel that will continue on Sunday with the visitors battling their way to another maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
26.55% (0.269 0.27) 23.95% (0.023 0.02) 49.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.107 0.11)45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.102 0.1)67.35% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.265 0.27)30.66% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.314 0.31)66.9% (-0.318 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (-0.126 -0.13)49.32% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Toulouse 49.5%
    Draw 23.94%
LorientDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Toulouse
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
1-1
Lorient
Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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