Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
38.01% ( 0.43) | 25.6% ( 0.16) | 36.39% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 55.61% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( -0.74) | 48.4% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( -0.68) | 70.54% ( 0.68) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.15) | 59.62% ( 0.15) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( -0.68) | 25.87% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% ( -0.93) | 60.85% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.39% Total : 36.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |