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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are the clear favourites for this contest and it will come as a surprise if they do not battle their way to a hard-earned victory. For us, though, Luton must surely click into gear at some stage and we are backing them to secure a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
43.07% (3.131 3.13) 25.09% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.85% (-3.084 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.608 -0.61)47.05% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.57 -0.57)69.29% (0.575 0.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (1.253 1.25)21.83% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.869 1.87)55.06% (-1.862 -1.86)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-2.179 -2.18)27.97% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-2.868 -2.87)63.61% (2.874 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.07%
    Cardiff City 31.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.674 0.67)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.46 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
16.9%
Cardiff City
35.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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