Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
54.6% ( -1.03) | 21.28% ( 0.4) | 24.12% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% ( -1.27) | 34.82% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% ( -1.43) | 56.79% ( 1.43) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.72) | 12.87% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.74% ( -1.49) | 39.26% ( 1.49) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0.22) | 27.08% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0.28) | 62.46% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.82% Total : 24.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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