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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 at 10.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Sydney FC

Macarthur
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Drew (45+4')
Drew (27'), Baccus (41')
Vujica (37'), Smith (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brattan (90+7')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur
Friday, April 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.6%) and 0-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
32.76% (-0.217 -0.22) 21.76% (0.093 0.09) 45.48% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 68.93% (-0.447 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.31% (-0.54299999999999 -0.54)30.69% (0.546 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.98% (-0.649 -0.65)52.02% (0.651 0.65)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.36699999999999 -0.37)19.57% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.603 -0.6)51.49% (0.606 0.61)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)14.29% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (-0.32 -0.32)42.09% (0.321 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 32.76%
    Sydney FC 45.48%
    Draw 21.76%
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.56% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.76%
1-1 @ 8.88% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 7.04% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.8% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 45.48%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 7
Sydney FC
0-2
Macarthur

Redmayne (15')
Hollman (28'), Germain (86')
Davila (31'), Lewis (53'), Hovar (64'), Baccus (72'), De Silva (90+3')
Dec 24, 2022 6am
Gameweek 9
Sydney FC
0-3
Macarthur
Arabuli (45+1', 89'), Davila (71')
Oct 29, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 4
Macarthur
2-3
Sydney FC
Millar (16'), Carter (87')
Wood (14'), Mak (45+1'), Segecic (83')
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 21
Sydney FC
2-2
Macarthur
Buhagiar (39'), Susnjar (53' og.)
Heward-Belle (7'), Caceres (43'), Warland (71'), Donachie (82')
Davila (8' pen.), Susnjar (26')
McGing (50'), Meredith (73'), Hollman (75')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Gameweek 6
Macarthur
0-3
Sydney FC
Wood (11'), Burgess (29'), Buhagiar (59')
Van Der Saag (71')
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