Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.6%) and 0-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.