Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.6%) and 0-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.76% ( -0.22) | 21.76% ( 0.09) | 45.48% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 68.93% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.31% ( -0.54) | 30.69% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.98% ( -0.65) | 52.02% ( 0.65) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( -0.37) | 19.57% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.51% ( -0.6) | 51.49% ( 0.61) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( -0.16) | 14.29% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% ( -0.32) | 42.09% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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