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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
49.24% ( -0.01) | 22.41% ( 0) | 28.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.62% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.49% ( -0.01) | 36.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.35% ( -0.01) | 58.65% ( 0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% ( -0.01) | 15.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% ( -0.01) | 43.79% ( 0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0) | 24.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( -0) | 59.64% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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