Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.09% ( 0.14) | 29.62% ( 0.18) | 35.29% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 43.16% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.11% ( -0.6) | 63.89% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.89% ( -0.43) | 83.11% ( 0.44) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.22) | 34.37% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.24) | 71.08% ( 0.25) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% ( -0.53) | 34.24% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% ( -0.58) | 70.94% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |