Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
72.19% ( 0.13) | 14.75% ( -0.04) | 13.05% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.6% ( -0.06) | 21.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.93% ( -0.08) | 40.06% ( 0.09) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% ( 0.01) | 5.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.17% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0.02) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.82% ( -0.17) | 29.18% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.88% ( -0.2) | 65.12% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.8% Total : 72.19% | 1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.75% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 13.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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