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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Brest logo

Metz
0 - 1
Brest


Herelle (40'), Elisor (42'), Jallow (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Le Douaron (75')
Lala (2'), Lees-Melou (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Metz
Sunday, December 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 2-1 Brest

Metz will be desperate to get back to winning ways after a frustrating match at Lille, and we believe that Les Grenats will have enough equality to cause their visitors issues. Brest face a quick turnaround following Thursday's meeting with Strasbourg, and we feel that the proximity of Sunday's clash to their last could lead to a sluggish performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawBrest
40.63% (-0.125 -0.13) 27.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 31.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.73% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)57.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)78.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.113 -0.11)27.65% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.147 -0.15)63.2% (0.15 0.15)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.015999999999991 0.02)33.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Metz 40.62%
    Brest 31.78%
    Draw 27.59%
MetzDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Metz vs Brest

Metz
42.2%
Draw
40.0%
Brest
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Metz
0-1
Brest

N'Doram (14'), Jemerson (35'), Kouyate (37'), Delaine (74')
Jemerson (78'), Oukidja (80')
Belaili (27')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brest
1-2
Metz
Faivre (68' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (46'), Mbock (71'), Chardonnet (88')
De Preville (26'), Centonze (74')
Kouyate (40'), Centonze (82')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
2-4
Metz
Honorat (33'), Cardona (48')
Perraud (31')
Boulaya (36'), Sarr (74'), Ndiaga Yade (81'), Goncalves (88' pen.)
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 12
Metz
0-2
Brest

Oukidja (32'), Centonze (66')
Cardona (12'), Boye (64' og.)
Cardona (54')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
P-P
Brest
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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