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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham

Tanganga (90')
Leonard (64'), Bryan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

With both sides painfully aware of how big Saturday's match could be in the fight for survival, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Millwall and Birmingham. The Lions are enjoying a brilliant run of form under their new management, but we reckon that Blues can earn a point from their trip to the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
43.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.39% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02)54.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.14%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.96%
    Birmingham City 29.39%
    Draw 26.64%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
53.7%
Draw
19.5%
Birmingham City
26.8%
41
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
1-1
Millwall
Stansfield (53')
Bacuna (46')
Nisbet (6')
Harding (57'), Norton-Cuffy (59')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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