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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Watford logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Watford

Watmore (74', 88')
Leonard (55'), Kayembe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayembe (22'), Chakvetadze (55'), Rajovic (90')
Sierralta (7'), Bryan (87'), Rajovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Millwall 1-1 Watford

This has all the makings of being an extremely tight encounter with both sides avoiding defeat with regularity during last season's run-in. On that note, we can only back a low-scoring draw, a result that would satisfy the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
30.19% (0.064 0.06) 27.11% (0.12 0.12) 42.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.05% (-0.427 -0.43)55.94% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (-0.348 -0.35)77.04% (0.346 0.35)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)33.64% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.191 -0.19)70.29% (0.19 0.19)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.291 -0.29)25.92% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.393 -0.39)60.92% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.19%
    Watford 42.7%
    Draw 27.1%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Millwall vs Watford

Millwall
66.7%
Draw
12.7%
Watford
20.6%
63
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')

Kayembe (1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
2-2
Millwall
Asprilla (7'), Rajovic (90+2')
Livermore (37'), Asprilla (50'), Sema (79')
Flemming (12'), Harding (85')
Flemming (27'), Saville (38'), Norton-Cuffy (90+3')
Dec 26, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
0-2
Millwall
Voglsammer (22'), Flemming (83')
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
3-0
Watford
Bradshaw (8', 26', 33')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
0-0
Watford
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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