Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.03% ( -0.03) | 28.8% ( 0.02) | 37.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.82% ( -0.05) | 61.18% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.87% ( -0.04) | 81.13% ( 0.04) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( -0.05) | 33.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( -0.05) | 70.31% ( 0.06) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.02) | 68.01% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |