Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 1Defensor
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
56
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Racing
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
43.4% ( -0.12) | 27.63% | 28.96% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.68% ( 0.04) | 58.32% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.06% ( 0.03) | 78.94% ( -0.03) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.04) | 26.65% ( 0.04) |