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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Brentford logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Brentford

Tonali (9', 43'), Schar (69')
Schar (17'), Guimaraes (38'), Livramento (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wissa (90+1')
Collins (31')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United record a commanding 3-1 win over Brentford with a dominant performance in the EFL Cup on Wednesday night, securing their place in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
61.65%19.53% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.82% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)33.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.62% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72%34.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.27% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 61.65%
    Brentford 18.82%
    Draw 19.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-0 @ 3.48%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.57%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.65%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.53%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 18.82%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brentford

Newcastle United
73.1%
Draw
12.2%
Brentford
14.7%
156
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Brentford
4-2
Newcastle
Mbeumo (8'), Wissa (28'), Collins (56'), Schade (90')
Lewis-Potter (45+3'), van den Berg (67'), Flekken (88')
Isak (11'), Barnes (32')
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
2-4
Newcastle
Janelt (48'), Wissa (70')
Toney (44'), Jensen (45+5'), Wissa (51'), Maupay (90+5')
Barnes (21'), Murphy (36'), Isak (38'), Guimaraes (77')
Joelinton (28'), Burn (53'), Krafth (66'), Pope (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-0
Brentford
Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Brentford
1-2
Newcastle
Toney (45+1' pen.)
Raya (54' og.), Isak (61')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
5-1
Brentford
Guimaraes (21', 56'), Murphy (28'), Almiron (82'), Pinnock (90' og.)
Toney (54' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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