MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:01:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Greaves (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (49'), Sawyers (77')
Harbottle (41'), Tilley (53'), Kelly (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Newport
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

Wimbledon will be targeting all three points to aid in their promotion push, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils, especially as four of their previous five meetings between the two sides have finished all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
23.77% (-0.349 -0.35) 23.86% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 52.37% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.581 -0.58)47.04% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.544 -0.54)69.29% (0.54599999999999 0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)34.04% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.676 -0.68)70.72% (0.678 0.68)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.105 -0.11)17.94% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.183 -0.18)48.76% (0.185 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 23.77%
    AFC Wimbledon 52.37%
    Draw 23.85%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.77%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.01% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.37%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
55.6%
Draw
7.4%
AFC Wimbledon
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Newport
Smith (12'), Stevens (20')
Bugiel (45+1'), O'Toole (51'), Neufville (75')
Jackson (46')
Spellman (26'), McLoughlin (90+7' pen.)
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Newport

O'Toole (20')
Morris (9'), Jameson (55')
Lewis (36'), Jameson (36'), Bennett (45'), Payne (70')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Evans (45+2'), Bogle (55')
Delaney (33')
Tilley (9', 30')
Pell (90+6')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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