Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
25.01% ( -0.07) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 49.19% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.16% ( -0.02) | 53.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.7% ( -0.01) | 75.3% ( 0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( -0.07) | 36.68% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( -0.07) | 73.47% ( 0.08) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.03) | 21.91% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.05) | 55.18% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |