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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Metz logo

Nice
1 - 0
Metz

Guessand (77' pen.)
Bard (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sabaly (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Nice
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-0 Metz

 Not having their top goalscorer in Moffi available will be difficult for Nice, but Les Aiglons have proven countless times over this campaign that they can hold down the fort and grind out a victory. As for Metz, they seem low on confidence and struggling to find solutions in the attack, and we believe they will have a difficult time breaking down a defensive unit as stable as Nice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
NiceDrawMetz
60.97% (0.574 0.57) 22.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.26% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 45.68% (-0.957 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.702 -0.7)52.27% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.608 -0.61)73.97% (0.607 0.61)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)16.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)46.65% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.86% (-1.116 -1.12)45.14% (1.117 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (-0.901 -0.9)81.04% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Nice 60.97%
    Metz 16.26%
    Draw 22.77%
NiceDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: Nice vs Metz

Nice
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Metz
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
0-1
Nice
Boudaoui (14')
Thuram (21')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 22
Metz
0-2
Nice

Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')
Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Nice
0-1
Metz

Delort (21'), Stengs (39')
Centonze (31')
N'Doram (4'), Jemerson (16')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Nice
1-2
Metz
Gouiri (61' pen.)
Sellouki (90+1')
Kouyate (15'), Gueye (38')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Metz
1-1
Nice
Boye (79')
Kouyate (17'), Maziz (36')
Gouiri (18' pen.)
Nsoki (67'), Boudaoui (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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