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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Cardiff

Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Cardiff City

Oxford have significantly fewer injury concerns than Cardiff, and they are likely to come into the game energised by the arrival of their new manager. It is difficult to see either side keeping a clean sheet given their poor form of late, but Oxford could be buoyed by their home crowd to a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCardiff City
33.08% (-0.394 -0.39) 26.08% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 40.84% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.298 0.3)50.95% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.262 0.26)72.82% (-0.262 -0.26)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)29.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)65.02% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.387 0.39)24.63% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.54 0.54)59.14% (-0.538 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.08%
    Cardiff City 40.84%
    Draw 26.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.84%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cardiff

Oxford United
56.1%
Draw
24.6%
Cardiff City
19.3%
57
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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