Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 17, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol2 - 0Defensor
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alvarez (34'), De Los Santos (36'), Cadenazzi (45+1'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (51'), Garcia (90+2')
De Los Santos (36')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, November 14 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, November 14 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
62
Last Game: Defensor 3-0 Progreso
Thursday, November 14 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, November 14 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
45.85% ( 1.65) | 28.83% ( -0.02) | 25.32% ( -1.63) |
| Both teams to score 41.66% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
