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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
34.08% ( 0.3) | 24.96% ( 0.04) | 40.96% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( -0.1) | 45.83% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( -0.1) | 68.14% ( 0.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.13) | 26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.17) | 61.02% ( -0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.21) | 22.31% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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