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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.25am UK
Providence Park
Real Salt Lake

Portland
3 - 0
Salt Lake

Mora (3'), Moreno (48'), Evander (90')
Chara (7'), Rodriguez (8'), Mora (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arango (23'), Gomez (23'), Ojeda (37'), Crooks (56'), Luna (63'), Bravo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake are two of the highest-scoring teams in the MLS, so an entertaining affair is on the cards here. However, we can see the teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
50.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.32% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 28.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.11% (0.048999999999992 0.05)30.88% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.75% (0.058 0.06)52.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.89% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.048000000000002 0.05)39.29% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.018999999999991 0.02)21.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.22% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 50.05%
    Real Salt Lake 28.63%
    Draw 21.32%
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 28.63%

How you voted: Portland vs Salt Lake

Portland Timbers
42.1%
Draw
21.1%
Real Salt Lake
36.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Salt Lake
Moreno (13'), Mora (64')
Chara (34'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5')
Arango (83')
Mastroeni (35'), Ojeda (45+1'), Vera (86')
May 18, 2023 4.12am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Dec 4, 2021 11.30pm
Portland
2-0
Salt Lake
Mora (5'), Moreno (61')
Moreno (61')

Herrera (58'), Ruiz (90+3')
Herrera (79')
rhs 2.0
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