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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.25am UK
Providence Park
Real Salt Lake

Portland
3 - 0
Salt Lake

Mora (3'), Moreno (48'), Evander (90')
Chara (7'), Rodriguez (8'), Mora (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arango (23'), Gomez (23'), Ojeda (37'), Crooks (56'), Luna (63'), Bravo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake are two of the highest-scoring teams in the MLS, so an entertaining affair is on the cards here. However, we can see the teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
50.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.32% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 28.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.11% (0.048999999999992 0.05)30.88% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.75% (0.058 0.06)52.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.89% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.048000000000002 0.05)39.29% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.018999999999991 0.02)21.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.22% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 50.05%
    Real Salt Lake 28.63%
    Draw 21.32%
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 28.63%

How you voted: Portland vs Salt Lake

Portland Timbers
42.1%
Draw
21.1%
Real Salt Lake
36.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Salt Lake
Moreno (13'), Mora (64')
Chara (34'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5')
Arango (83')
Mastroeni (35'), Ojeda (45+1'), Vera (86')
May 18, 2023 4.12am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Dec 4, 2021 11.30pm
Portland
2-0
Salt Lake
Mora (5'), Moreno (61')
Moreno (61')

Herrera (58'), Ruiz (90+3')
Herrera (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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