Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto4 - 0Boavista
We said: Porto 2-0 Boavista
Although both clubs are at opposite ends of the form table, Saturday's encounter between these clubs from the Porto district should be closer than the previous five games suggest. Despite Boavista's inclination for tight games on their travels, the Dragons are backed to record a ninth straight victory at the Dragao to displace Benfica and Sporting temporarily. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 88.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 4-0 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
88.33% ( -0.13) | 8.59% ( 0.11) | 3.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 35.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
