Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Arouca
Monday, December 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Porto were held last time out in Portugal's top flight, but they have been so strong at home this season, winning all seven of their league matches, and we are expecting the hosts to secure a routine three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 91.69%. A draw had a probability of 6.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 1.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 4-0 (12.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
91.69% ( -0.64) | 6.37% ( 0.47) | 1.93% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 32.01% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
