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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Cambridge United |
63.6% | 20.06% | 16.33% |
Both teams to score 54.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.33% | 40.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% | 63.05% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% | 12.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.25% | 37.74% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.81% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.7% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.8% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |